Even after a surprisingly close game against FSU, Miami retains an extremely high (99.2%) probability to make the CCG. Wake Forest (65.7%) is looking stronger each week, and SMU (25.0%) has a good chance as well. A few other teams have an outside shot, but as of right now the best expectation is either Miami vs Wake Forest or Miami vs SMU in what looks like it might be the last ever ACCCG.
The top teams don't play each other this week, so don't expect much change unless there's an upset. If Miami loses, their odds drop to 96%. If SMU loses, they drop to 12%.
Full interactive odds, matchups, and what-if scenarios: https://sportssimulate.com/cfb/2026/latest/ACC