52, hoping to retire at 55 with $10k/month after tax. Looking for a FIRE sanity check.
I've been doing a lot of retirement planning lately after a recent windfall, and I'm increasingly convinced that my wife and I could retire comfortably in our mid-50s. I'd appreciate some feedback, particularly from Canadians who have already retired early.
Our situation
- I'm 52, my wife is 51.
- Both employed, earning approximately $165k each. My job satisfaction is dropping fast, my wife is more of a Type A, but burning out.
- Two children, one finished university and the other in high school.
- Living in Kitchener, Ontario.
- No defined-benefit pensions.
- Hoping to retire around age 55.
Our finances (CAD)
- Approximately $1.28M invested across RRSPs, maxed-out TFSAs, and ~$100k in non-registered investments.
- Primary residence worth approximately $1.2M.
- Both contributing aggressively to RRSPs, with tax refunds reinvested.
- No debt of any kind.
We have about $50k in the RESP for our younger child's university, and both children have separate, substantial savings accounts to help with future house down payments or other needs. None of that money is included in our retirement figures.
Retirement goals
We're targeting $10,000/month after tax, adjusted for inflation, until at least age 90.
That number is based on our actual spending over the past two years, rather than an estimate of what we think retirement might cost.
Ideally, we'd downsize from our Kitchener house to somewhere with a nice view, perhaps overlooking Lake Ontario or Lake Erie. We'd spend 2-3 months at our cottage in New Brunswick in the summer and perhaps a month each winter somewhere warmer, possibly Europe (never Florida).
We're not pursuing lean FIRE. We want to maintain our lifestyle and enjoy travelling, hobbies, and the freedom retirement provides.
Our plan
I've modelled retirement at ages 55, 58, 60, and 65, using 3%, 4%, and 5% real investment returns.
At 5%, retiring at 55 looks quite achievable. At 4%, the numbers are tighter, but potentially workable if we downsize.
We'd optimize RRSP/TFSA withdrawals and CPP/OAS timing, while keeping the equity in our downsized home as a financial safety net.
I'm also considering whether a joint-life annuity might make sense for part of our portfolio.
One interesting observation from my modelling is that the financial benefits of working longer seem to start diminishing around age 58. So that is my drop-dead date to retire.
Questions for the community
- Does retiring at 55 with $10k/month after tax seem realistic given our finances?
- Is assuming 4% real returns reasonable for a 35-year retirement?
- How would you manage RRSP/TFSA withdrawals and CPP/OAS timing?
- Would you consider an annuity, or stick with investments?
- For those already retired, how did actual spending compare with your expectations?
- How did you decide you had enough?
Ultimately, we're increasingly aware that our healthy retirement years are finite. Accumulating more money is appealing, but so is having the freedom to enjoy it while we can.
I'd appreciate any feedback, particularly from people who have already made the leap.
