“A newly surfaced photograph of a dark grey Ilyushin Il-78 aerial refuelling tanker has renewed speculation that Russia may be preparing to supply China with a previously reported order for 20 aircraft. The aircraft carries a marking on its tail resembling part of the People’s Liberation Army Air Force (PLAAF) insignia, although the marking is only partially visible and its intended customer has not been confirmed. Neither the Russian nor Chinese government has publicly acknowledged a contract for the aircraft. The photograph was reportedly taken as the aircraft emerged from the factory in early October, as unconfirmed reports have indicated that deliveries are scheduled for 2027 and 2028.”

I know MW Magazine is a pretty trash source, but the pic seems pretty legit. What do you guys make of this, given the current state of the Chinese tanker fleet?

Industrial shock, I think, would be the more appropriate description. And I frame it that way because it is more of a condemnation of every other developed nation that has failed to prioritize the need for industrial policy for security. Fortunately, the pace of change has not been overtaken by the pressures of conflict yet, and there seems to still be time to shift national policies before the next major conflict.